--- # Personal details name: Justin Lessler address-home: - 97 Wagon Trace - Pittsboro, North Carolina, 27312 address-work: - McGavran-Greenberg Hall - 135 Dauer Drive - Chapel Hill NC, 27599 email: jlessler@unc.edu phone: "+1 919 599 2133" education: - degree: PhD year: 2008 subject: Epidemiology school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - degree: MHS year: 2008 subject: Biostatistics school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - degree: MS year: 2003 subject: Computer Science school: Stanford University - degree: BS year: 1996 subject: Mathematical Sciences school: University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill - degree: AA year: 1992 school: Simon\'s Rock of Bard College experience: - title: Professor years: 2021-present employer: Dept. of Epidemiology, UNC Chapel Hill - title: Faculty Fellow years: 2021-present employer: Carolina Population Center, UNC Chapel Hill - title: Adjunct Professor years: 2021-present employer: Dept. of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins BSPH - title: Track Director, Inf. Disease years: 2016-2021 employer: Dept. of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins BSPH - title: Associate Professor years: 2015-2021 employer: Dept. of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins BSPH - title: RAPIDD Member years: 2015 employer: Fogarty International Center - title: Assistant Professor years: 2011-2015 employer: Dept. of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins BSPH - title: Research Associate years: 2008-2011 employer: Dept. of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins BSPH - title: Research Assistant years: 2004-2008 employer: Dept. of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins BSPH - title: Epidemiologic Consultant years: 2007-2008 employer: IBM - title: Staff Software Engineer years: 1999-2004 employer: IBM Almaden Research Center - title: Software Engineer years: 1996-1999 employer: Tivoli (an IBM company) - title: Summer Research Fellow years: 1996 employer: National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences consulting: - title: Expert Witness years: 2020 employer: Paul, Weiss, Rifkind, Wharton & Garrison LLP - title: Expert Witness years: 2022-2023 employer: Cohen, Ziffer, Frenchman & McKenna membership: - org: American Association for the Advancement of Science years: since 2003 - org: Society for Epidemiological Research years: since 2004 - org: American Public Health Association years: since 2005-2006 - org: American Society for Tropical Medicine and Hygiene years: 2012-2019 panel: - panel: Meeting on Inactivation Protocols org: U.S. Government Accountability Office role: Panel Member date: February 2016 - panel: Rubella Working Group org: >- WHO Strategic Advisory Group of Experts on Immunization (SAGE) role: Technical Adviser date: April 2011 - panel: Working Group on Influenza A (H1N1) org: WHO Informal Network on Mathematical Modeling role: Member date: 2009 grantrev: - panel: Microbiology and Infectious Diseases B Research Study Section org: National Institutes of Health type: Study Section - standing member id: MID-B date: November 2023-April 2025 - panel: >- Special re-review panel org: National Institutes of Health type: Special Review Panel date: April 2023 - panel: >- Infectious Diseases, Reproductive Health, Asthma and Pulmonary Epidemiology (IRAP) org: National Institutes of Health type: Study Section id: ZRG1-PSE-H-70 date: March 2021 - panel: >- NIH Directors Early Independence Award Review org: National Institutes of Health type: Special Emphasis Panel id: ZRG1 PSE-N date: March 2019 - panel: >- Clinical Research and Field Studies of Infectious Diseases (CRFS) org: National Institutes of Health type: Study Section date: February 2019 - panel: >- International Research in Infectious Diseases including AIDS org: National Institutes of Health id: ZRG1-PSE-D-55 type: Special Emphasis Panel date: October 2018 - panel: >- Pulmonary, Kidney and Mental Health Disease Member Conflict Special Emphasis Panel org: National Institutes of Health type: Special Emphasis Panel date: June 2018 - panel: >- Modeling and Analysis of Biological Systems (MABS) org: National Institutes of Health type: Study Section date: June 2018 - panel: >- International Research in Infectious Diseases including AIDS org: National Institutes of Health id: ZRG1-PSE-D-55 type: Special Emphasis Panel date: December 2017 - panel: >- Rapid Assessment of Zika Virus (ZIKV) Complications (R21) org: National Institutes of Health id: ZAI1 LG-M (M3) type: Special Emphasis Panel date: May 2017 - panel: >- Infectious Diseases, Reproductive Health, Asthma and Pulmonary Epidemiology (IRAP) org: National Institutes of Health type: Study Section date: November 2016 - panel: Canada-Latin America-Caribbean Zika Virus Program org: Canadian Institutes of Health Research role: Reviewer date: August 2016 - panel: UK-Indonesia Newton Fund org: UK Medical Research Council (MRC) role: Ad-hoc reviewer date: August 2016 - panel: Harnessing Big Data to Halt HIV/AIDS org: National Institutes of Health id: 2016/10 ZRG1 AARR-F (92) S type: Special Emphasis Panel date: July 2016 - panel: >- Topics in Biology of Infectious Diseases Agents, Drug Resistance and Drug Discovery org: National Institutes of Health type: Special Review Panel id: ZRG1 IDM-N date: July 2016 - panel: Indo-US Science & Technology Forum (IUSSTF) org: AAAS role: Ad-hoc reviewer date: January 2015 - panel: Joint Global Health Trials org: UK Medical Research Council (MRC) role: Ad-hoc reviewer date: April 2014 - panel: >- Infectious Diseases, Reproductive Health, Asthma and Pulmonary Epidemiology (IRAP) org: National Institutes of Health type: Study Section date: June 2013 - panel: >- NIAID Investigator Initiated Program Project Applications (P01) org: National Institutes of Health type: Special Emphasis Panel id: 2012/01 ZAI1 GSM-M (J1) date: November 2011 patent: - name: >- Method and system for knowledge repository exploration and visualization number: 6,725,217 authors: - Chow AW - Kreulen JT - Lessler JT - Proctor LL - Spangler WS status: granted - name: >- Managing activity reuse in a collaborative computing environment authors: - Ruvolo J - Lessler J - Moran TP - Muller M - Tang JC - Gruen DM - Moody PB - Stachel RJ - Minassian SO status: published - name: >- Method for synchronizing documents for disconnected operation number: 9,104,689 authors: - Edlund SB - Ruvolo J - Lessler JT - Baratham SSS status: granted - name: >- Method for automatically finding frequently asked questions in a helpdesk data set number: 6,804,670 authors: - Kreulen JT - Lessler JT - Sanchez MP - Spangler WS status: granted - name: >- Method of generating a context-inference search query and of sorting a result of the query number: 7,853,574 authors: - Kraenzel CJ - Moody PB - Ruvolo J - Moran TP - Lessler JT status: granted - name: Text Explanation for On-Line Analytic Processing Events number: 7,383,257 authors: - Cody WF - Krishna V - Lessler JT - Spangler WS - Kreulen JT status: granted - name: >- System and method for dynamically tracking user interests based on personal information number: 8,838,588 authors: - Ruvolo J - Edlund SB - Krishna V - Lessler JT - Kraenzel CJ status: granted symposium: - title: Organizing Committee meeting: Insight Net Annual Meeting 2 date: May 2025 role: Co-lead Organizer - title: Organizing Committee meeting: Insight Net Annual Meeting 1 date: May 2024 role: Co-lead Organizer - title: Conference organizing committee meeting: Epidemics$^7$ date: December, 2019 role: Organizing Committee - title: Conference organizing committee meeting: Epidemics$^6$ date: November, 2017 role: Organizing Committee - title: >- Checklists and Registration in Observational Epidemiologic Research: Essential Transparency or Scientific Straight-jacket? meeting: Society for Epidemiologic Research Annual Meeting date: June, 2017 role: Co-chair - title: >- Epidemiologic Inference with Mechanistic Models: Merging the 'Why' with the 'How' meeting: Epidemiology Conference of the Americas date: June, 2016 role: Co-chair - title: >- Ebola, MERS and Chikungunya: methodological issues in responding to emerging disease threats meeting: Society for Epidemiologic Research Annual Meeting date: June, 2015 role: Co-chair - title: >- Measuring Challenging Populations: Is there a need for methodological innovation meeting: Society for Epidemiologic Research Annual Meeting date: June, 2012 role: Co-chair - title: >- The Role of Predictive Models in Causal Inference meeting: Epidemiology Conference of the Americas date: June, 2011 role: Co-chair - title: >- 2009 Pandemic Influenza A (H1N1) Virus Infection: Epidemiology and Response meeting: Society for Epidemiologic Research Annual Meeting date: June, 2010 role: Co-chair - title: Models and Inference for Infectious Disease meeting: Society for Epidemiologic Research Annual Meeting date: June, 2010 role: Co-chair - title: >- Roundtable, H1N1 Influenza: Epidemiology in an Emerging Pandemic meeting: Society for Epidemiologic Research Annual Meeting date: June, 2010 role: Co-host editor: - journal: American Journal of Epidemiology term: 2019-present assocedit: - journal: >- American Journal of Epidemiology (Associate Editor in Residence and Editor pro-tem) term: 2012-2019 - journal: PLoS Computational Biology term: 2015-2017 - journal: BMC Infectious Disease term: 2013-2015 otheredit: - journal: Epidemiologic Reviews, Special Issue on Emerging Infections role: Guest Editor term: 2018-2019 - journal: American Journal of Epidemiology, Special Issue on 1918 Pandemic role: Guest Editor term: 2018 - journal: PLoS Medicine role: Statistical Advisor term: 2013-present - journal: PLoS Medicine role: Guest Editor (1 paper) term: 2016 - journal: PNAS role: Outside Editor (4 papers) term: 2018-2022 peerrev: - American Journal of Epidemiology - American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene - Annals of Internal Medicine - 'Biosecurity and Bioterrorism: Biodefense Strategy, Practice, and Science' - British Medical Journal - Bulletin of Mathematical Biology - Bulletin of the World Health Organization - Clinical and Vaccine Immunology - Computers in Biology and Medicine - Conflict and Health - Emerging Infectious Diseases - Epidemiology - Epidemics - F1000 - International Journal of Biostatistics - Journal of Biological Dynamics - Journal of Research in Medical Sciences - Journal of the Royal Society, Interface - Journal of Theoretical Biology - Nature Physics - Nature Microbiology - 'Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences' - PLoS Computational Biology - PLoS Medicine - PLoS ONE - PLoS Pathogens - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS) - Psychological Methods - Science - Statistical Communications in Infectious Disease - Statistics in Medicine - The Lancet - The Lancet Infectious Diseases - Theoretical Population Biology honor: - name: Simons Foundation Fellowship grantee: Isaac Newton Institute for Mathematical Sciences date: August 2024 - name: Delta Omega Honor Society (Alpha Chapter) grantee: Johns Hopkins date: 2017 - name: Golden Apple, small class size grantee: Johns Hopkins date: 2016 - name: Advising, Mentoring, and Teaching Recognition Award (AMTRA) date: 2016 - name: >- Outstanding Course Recognition: Concepts and Methods in Infectious Disease Epidemiology grantee: Johns Hopkins date: April 2016 - name: >- Outstanding Course Recognition: Infectious Disease Dynamics grantee: Johns Hopkins date: June 2015 - name: >- Visiting Fellow, Program on Infectious Disease Dynamics Follow-up grantee: Isaac Newton Institute. date: May 2014 - name: >- Visiting Fellow, Program on Infectious Disease Dynamics grantee: Issac Newton Institute date: Fall 2013 - name: >- Doctoral Seminar Award for Scholarship, Creativity, and Conversational Courage grantee: Johns Hopkins date: 2006 - name: First Plateau Invention Achievement Award grantee: IBM date: April 2004 - name: Bravo Award grantee: IBM date: June 2003 - name: Research Division Award grantee: IBM date: December 2002 - name: First Patent Application Invention Achievement Award grantee: IBM date: August 2001 - name: Distinguished Contribution Award grantee: IBM date: July 1998 policypres: - title: >- Intro to infectious disease modeling, InsightNet, and the Atlantic Coast Center for Infectious Disease Dynamics and Analytics date: September 2024 org: >- NC DHHD Epi Section Local Epidemiologists Meeting description: >- Presented to local epidemiologist from throughout North Carolina about the differet uses of mechanistic models and how to ask a good modeling question. - title: Scenario Modeling Hub Round 18 results and takeaways org: >- Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices (ACIP) COVID-19 Vaccine Working Group date: August 2023 description: >- Presentation to the ACIP working group on Scenario Modeling Hub rounds aimed at projecting the impact of a reformulated vaccine. Summaries of this presentation were included in the ACIP public meeting and were directly cited in the recommendation for COVID-19 vaccination in fall 2023 - title: Scenario Modeling Hub Round 14 and 15 results and takeaways org: >- Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices (ACIP) COVID-19 Vaccine Working Group date: August 2022 description: >- Presentation to the ACIP working group on Scenario Modeling Hub rounds aimed at projecting the impact of a reformulated booster. Summaries of this presentation were included in the ACIP public meeting and were directly cited in the recommendation of bivalent boosters starting September 2022 - title: >- Round 14 and 15, Planning scenarios projecting COVID-19 burden through mid-2023 under different booster policies. org: CDC Regional Collaborative Calls date: 2022 - title: Scenario Hub Modeling Work Update org: Council of State and Territorial Epidemiologists date: August 2022 - title: Modeling Future Epidemiology of the COVID-19 Pandemic org: >- FDA Vaccines and Related Biological Products Advisory Committee date: June 2022 - title: Scenario Hub Modeling Work Update org: Council of State and Territorial Epidemiologists date: April 2022 - title: Briefing to NIAID Director on Scenario Modeling Activities org: National Institute of Allergies and Infectious Disease date: December 2021 description: Was part of a team updating Dr. Fauci on Scenario Modeling efforts and the likely impact of the Omicron variant. - title: >- Updated Testimony on the COVID-19 Pandemic in North Carolina org: >- NC General Assembly Joint Legislative Commission on Governmental Operations Subcommittee on the Use and Distribution on Federal COVID Funding date: December 2021 - title: >- The History and Future of the COVID-19 Pandemic in North Carolina org: >- NC General Assembly Joint Legislative Commission on Governmental Operations Subcommittee on the Use and Distribution on Federal COVID Funding date: November 2021 - title: Scenario Modeling Hub Round 9, The Impact of Vaccination in Children Ages 5-11 org: >- Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices (ACIP) COVID-19 Vaccine Working Group date: October 2021 description: >- Summaries of this work were presented in the ACIP public meeting where it was decided to expand vaccination recommendations to children aged 5-11. - title: Scenario Hub Modeling Work Update org: Council of State and Territorial Epidemiologists date: June 2021 - title: >- Briefing on COVID-19 Planning Scenarios org: Maryland Health Services and Cost Review Commission date: April 2020 - title: Briefing on COVID-19 Planning Scenarios org: US House Energy and Commerce Committee (staff) date: April 2020 - title: Briefing on COVID-19 Planning Scenarios org: Maryland General Assembly COVID-19 Working Group date: April 2020 - title: >- Update on Progress of COVID-19 Epidemic, Forecasts and Planning Scenarios org: Maryland General Assembly COVID-19 Working Group date: April 2020 - title: >- Tracking progress: global database for epi and lab data org: Global Task Force for Cholera Control date: June 2019 - title: >- Post-epidemic Zika org: Pan American Health Organization date: June 2018 - title: >- Forecasting Cholera: lessons from dengue and babysteps org: Global Task Force for Cholera Control date: April 2019 - title: >- Combining Data Across Spatial Scales to Inform Policy org: Global Task Force for Cholera Control date: April 2019 - title: >- Zika Modeling Coordination Group: Future of Zika in the Americas org: BARDA Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) date: July 2016 - title: Mapping Incidence and Classifying Risk for Cholera location: Geneva, Switzerland date: January, 2016 org: World Health Organization - title: Cholera Round Table location: Kinshasa DRC date: December 2014 description: >- A round table to discuss cholera control policy in Africa convened by the World Health Organization and Democratic Republic of Congo Ministry of Health. - title: >- Cholera Modeling at Johns Hopkins: Linking Modeling and Public Heath Practice org: Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation location: Seattle, Washington date: May 2014 - title: >- Evidence for Antigenic Seniority in Influenza A (H3N2) Antibody Responses in Southern China, Guangzhou China, April 2013 location: Guangzhou, China date: April 2013 description: >- Presented to an assembly of policy makers and public health officials, including representatives of the Guangdong Ministry of Health, and the local and national CDC - title: >- The Coverage of Measles Vaccination Activities in Selected Countries of Africa and Asia location: Geneva, Switzerland org: World Health Organization date: January 2012 - title: >- WHO Strategic Advisory Group of Experts (SAGE) Meeting location: Geneva, Switzerland date: April 2011 description: >- Presented (with collaborators) model based evaluation of the risks and benefits of introducing rubella vaccine to countries with weaker vaccination programs policycons: - title: COVID-19 Response, California org: California Department of Health date: 2020-2021 description: >- I lead a team that provides the California Department of Public Health in its response to the ongoing SARS-CoV-2 public health emergency by conducting scenario and strategic modeling of the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic for California region using large-scale spatio-temporal modeling approaches. - title: COVID-19 Response, Federal Government org: FEMA, DHHS, CDC date: 2020-2021 description: >- I lead a team that does forecasting, scenario modeling and epidemiological consultation for the US Government response to the COVID-19 pandemic. This work was originally through FEMA, and transferred to DHHS in June 2020. This work also results in regular contributions to the COVID-19 forecast hub. - title: COVID-19 Response, Other State Governments org: various departments of health, including Maryland, Louisiana, Delaware date: 2020-2021 description: >- Our team has used the COVIDScenarioPipeline modeling framework to provide forecasts and planning scenarios to a variety of state governments. These have ranged from one time engagements, to producing regularly (roughly weekly) reports for the Maryland State government. - title: Gavi VIMC Rubella Vaccination Impact Modeling org: Gavi date: 2018-present description: >- I am part of an project to forecast the impact of investments in rubella vaccine over the next decades. - title: Modeling for Gavi VIS Oral Cholera Vaccine Investment Case org: Gavi date: 2017-2021 description: >- I lead a JHU based team to project the impact of oral cholera vaccine campaigns on human health over the next 30 years if Gavi decides to make an investment in the vaccine. - title: Global Task Force for Cholera Control (GTFCC) org: GTFCC date: 2014-present description: >- We have worked to provide analytic support and empirical information to the WHO supported GTFCC (as members) since its founding, supported by a BMGF grant. Specific consultations include exploring targeting of oral cholera vaccine (OCV) in Yemen and a systematic review of the OCV efficacy. - title: "'Realtime' dengue forecasting" org: Thai Ministry of Health date: 2012-2019 description: >- As part of an NIH supported research project we receive bi-weekly updates on national dengue incidence to the Thai Ministry of Public Health, and return forecasts of upcoming dengue incidence - title: "Modeling for Zika Vaccine Trial Site Selection" org: US CDC and NIH date: 2016-2019 description: >- With support from the NIH we are part of a collaborative team of three groups each taking a different approach to identifying sites that are likely to have adequate incidence to support local vaccine trials. - title: Ad hoc consultation on disease modeling. org: US Government Accountability Office date: August 2018 description: >- Provided input and guidance as to the best ways infectious disease modeling could be incorporated into US government preparedness activities. - title: >- Wellcome Trust Consultation on Epidemiology and Modeling for Epidemic Preparedness and Response org: Wellcome Trust date: May 2018 description: >- Worked in groups to provide guidance to the Wellcome Trust on the optimal ways that disease modeling could be integrated into outbreak response, and how the trust could make investments to facilitate such actions. - title: Cholera in Tanzania org: US Centers for Disease Control Prevention date: Fall 2015 description: >- We provided the CDC, and (via CDC intermediaries) the Tanzanian Ministry of Health and other interested parties, forecasts of cholera incidence and epidemic course during the 2015-2016 cholera epidemic throughout Tanzania - title: Measles in Nz\'er\'ekor\'e Guinea org: >- European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) and the Global Outbreak and Response Network (GORAN) date: January-March 2016 description: >- At the request of staff from the ECDC and GORAN we performed analyses aimed at estimating underlying population immunity to measles and projecting the impact of a potential outbreak in the area. This analysis played an important role in planning vaccination strategy in the region - title: MERS-CoV Scenario Modeling Working Group consultation org: Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA) date: Spring-Summer 2014 description: >- Supported the KSA Ministry of Health in their response to an ongoing outbreak of MERS-CoV and preparing for the Hajj. This work was a critical in setting infection control policy during the Hajj - title: Cholera in South Sudan org: >- Epicentre/Medecins Sans Frontieres date: Spring 2014 description: >- Performed real time modeling and analytic support for the response to a cholera outbreak in South Sudan - title: Phase II Impact Modeling Meeting org: GAVI Alliance--Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation location: Washington DC date: February 2014 description: >- Meeting to assess how best to measure the impact of GAVI supported vaccine campaigns - title: Impact Modeling Meeting org: GAVI Alliance--Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation location: Washington DC date: October 2012 description: >- Meeting to assess how best to measure the impact of GAVI supported vaccine campaigns - title: Pandemic H1N1 org: New Your City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene date: May-June 2009 description: >- Provided consultation on the implications of the length of the incubation period and serial interval for the length of school closure in response to influenza A/H1N1pdm. software: - title: ConTESSA authors: - McGowan L - Lee EC - Grantz K - \textbf{Lessler J} year: 2020 publisher: Johns Hopkins url: >- https://iddynamics.jhsph.edu/apps/connect/contessa/ - title: flepiMoP (formerly COVIDScenarioPipeline) authors: - Lemaitre JC - Grantz KH - Kaminsky J - Meredith HR - Truelove SA - Lauer SA - Keegan LT - Shah S - Wills J - Kaminsky K - Perez-Saez J - \textbf{Lessler J} - Lee EC year: 2020 publisher: github url: >- https://github.com/HopkinsIDD/COVIDScenarioPipeline - title: tti (test-trace-isolate) authors: - McGowan L - Lee EC - Grantz K - \textbf{Lessler J} year: 2020 publisher: github url: >- https://github.com/HopkinsIDD/tti - title: phylosamp authors: - \textbf{Lessler J} - Giles J - Wohl S year: 2020 publisher: github url: >- https://github.com/HopkinsIDD/phylosamp - title: EpiEstim authors: - Cori C - Cauchemez S - Ferguson NM - Fraser C - Dahlquist E - Demarsh PA - Jombart T - Kamvar ZN - \textbf{Lessler J} - Li S - Polonsky JA - Stockwin J - Thompson R - van Gaalen R year: 2020 publisher: Comprehensive R Archive Network url: >- https://cran.r-project.org/web/packages/EpiEstim/ - title: ForecastFramework authors: - Kaminsky J - \textbf{Lessler J} - Reich NG year: 2017 publisher: Comprehensive R Archive Network url: >- https://cran.r-project.org/web/packages/ForecastFramework - title: IDSpatialStats authors: - \textbf{Lessler J} - Salje H - Giles J year: 2016 publisher: Comprehensive R Archive Network url: >- https://cran.r-project.org/web/packages/IDSpatialStats - title: vacem authors: - \textbf{Lessler J} - Metcalf CJE year: 2012 publisher: Comprehensive R Archive Network url: >- https://cran.r-project.org/web/packages/vacem - title: coarseDataTools authors: - Reich NG - \textbf{Lessler J} - Andrew AS year: 2011 publisher: Comprehensive R Archive Network url: >- https://cran.r-project.org/web/packages/coarseDataTools policyother: - title: >- Co-director, Atlantic Coast Center for Infectious Disease Dynamics and Analytics (ACCIDDA) date: 2024-present org: Multiple, primarily NC-DHHS, Navajo Epidemiology Center, California Department of Public Health and Florida Department of Health description: >- I co-direct ACCIDDA, a center funded by the CDC Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA) as part of the Insight Net network (for which ACCIDDA serves as the coordinating center). As part of this work we directly support multiple health departments, including analystics and dashboard development for NC-DHHS around measles vaccination and influenza. - title: >- Leadership of the US COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub date: 2020-present org: Multiple, particularly the US CDC and the White House description: >- In 2020 I initiated a collaboration of multiple scientists to co-found the US COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub (SMH) \url{covid19scenariomodelinghub.org}. I continue to serve on the coordination committee. The SMH provides projections of COVID-19 cases, hospitalizations and death 3-12 months into the future under multiple planning scenarios. These scenarios are developed in close coordination with partners including the CDC, the White House, and ACIP. Scenario projections have been used to inform multiple parts of the COVID-19 response, particularly vaccine recommendations, have been widely covered in the media, and are followed by organizations ranging from public health agencies to insurance companies. The SMH has inspired multiple parallel efforts including the Flu Scenario Modeling Hub and the EU COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub. - title: >- Contributions to the US COVID-19 Forecast Hub and Flusight org: US CDC date: 2020-present description: >- I have led teams that make regular forecast contributions to the US COVID-19 Forecast Hub and Flusight forecasting. Both are featured by the CDC as a core part of their response activities. - title: >- Consultation and communication on COVID-19 pandemic response date: 2020-2024 org: Multiple national, state and local governments, institutions description: >- Over the course of the COVID-19 pandemic I have engaged in multiple formal and informal consultations with multiple institutions and governments, including national, state and local governments; as well as institutions including hospitals, companies, universities and businesses. - title: >- Faculty co-director student Surveillance and Outbreak Response Team (SORT) date: 2013-2019 org: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health description: >- As director (and co-founder) of SORT I supervise a group of students that works to actively engage and support the local public health practice communities. SORT members are involved in ongoing projects helping the Baltimore City Health Department in surveillance activities and outbreak response, including support of an ongoing investigation of a tuberculosis cluster. My SORT related activities have included meeting conducted in conjunction with the practice office, includes meetings with: Baltimore City Health Department, Harford County Health Department, Fredrick County Heath Department, Maryland Department of Health and Mental Hygiene. - title: >- Support of Liberian Ministry of Health Post Ebola date: 2017-2018 org: >- Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health/Liberian Ministry of Health description: >- I worked with a JHSPH based team on a US CDC funded project to provide technical support to the Liberian Government and training to health workers. My primary focuses were running classes for County Surveillance Officers to provide basic training in basic software and epidemiologic concepts, and cleaning and linking multiple databases collected over the course of the Ebola epidemic. - title: >- Faculty sponsor for the Health Education Across Languages (HEAL) student group. date: 2010-2012 org: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health description: >- The HEAL student group conducted health education workshops and helped refugees to access local health services in collaboration with the Episcopal Refugee Immigrant Center Alliance (ERICA) and International Rescue Committee (IRC). HEAL activities included sessions on accessing healthcare and nutritious food in Baltimore, vaccination and vision screening, each of the latter two providing services to over 100 individuals. In my capacity of faculty sponsor I advised students on event planning and participated in many of the events, leading presentations on health issues including nutrition and vaccination. media: - topic: >- Measles ourbrak in Texas date: 2025 outlets: - Associated Press - topic: COVID-19 date: 2020-2024 outlets: - NPR - CNN - Fox News - BBC World Service (TV and Radio) - BBC - New York Times - Washington Post - New Yorker - New York Magazine - Al Jazeera - Time - Wired - Today.com - Baltimore Sun - NBCNews.com - Metro - USA Today - Fox Baltimore - Politico - TPM - Newsweek - Fortune - Inside Higher Ed - The Atlantic - Arkansas Democrat-Gazette - Here and There with Dave Marash - CBS Baltimore - CBS News - PolitiFact - Voice of America - Yahoo News - and many others - topic: >- Canonical path to measles elimination date: Spring 2019 outlets: - El Pais - The Conversation - Scientific American - Bloomberg - topic: >- El Nino\'s impact on cholera date: Spring 2017 outlets: - The Conversation - Reuters - topic: Cholera in Haiti date: October 2016 outlets: - The Verge - VICE News - topic: Measles Elimination date: September 2016 outlets: - Reuters - topic: Zika date: April-September 2016 outlets: - NPR All Things Considered - National Geographic - Miami Herald - Global Citizen - Reuters live twitter chat - The Scientist - topic: Measles post-Ebola date: March 2015 outlets: - Here and There with Dave Marash - Buzzfeed - Canadian Broadcast Company - Washington Post - National Journal - Scientific American - Voice of America - International Business Times - Mother Jones - USA Today - Science Magazine - and others. - topic: Ignaz Semmelweis date: January 2015 outlets: - NPR Morning Edition - topic: MERS-CoV date: September 2013 outlets: - The Guardian advisees: - name: Ariel Christensen degree: PhD dates: Spring 2024-present school: UNC Gillings School of Global Public Health - name: Kelly Geith degree: PhD dates: August 2023-present school: UNC Gillings School of Global Public Health - name: Shahar Stern-Yosha degree: PhD dates: August 2022-present school: UNC Gillings School of Global Public Health - name: Carson Telford degree: PhD dates: August 2022-present school: UNC Gillings School of Global Public Health - name: Claire Smith degree: PhD dates: August 2020-June 2024 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health thesis: >- Inferrring Transmission Pathways from Incomplete Data: Applications to Contact Network Structure and Household Data - name: Kyra Grantz degree: PhD type: academic co-advisor dates: August 2018-July 2021 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - name: Theodore (Louie) Gold degree: MHS dates: May 2020-June 2021 thesis: >- Describing the Shifting Age Distribution of SARS-CoV-2 Infections Over the Course of the COVID-19 Pandemic type: co-advisor school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - name: Katelyn Dinkle degree: MHS thesis: >- The Relationship Between COVID-19 Cases and Deaths in the United States dates: May 2020-June 2021 type: advisor school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - name: Lauren Norris degree: MHS dates: May 2020-June 2021 type: academic advisor thesis: >- Immunologic Response and Protection Following Naturally Acquired Enterotoxigenic E. coli Diarrhea in a Longitudinal Birth Cohort in Lima, Peru school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - name: Hanmeng Xu degree: ScM type: advisor thesis: >- Projecting Effect of School Closure In US-Like Setting During Covid-19 Pandemic dates: May 2020-June 2021 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - name: Victor Popoola degree: PhD dates: February 2018-December 2022 thesis: >- Heterogeneity of HIV acquisition risk in a declining generalized African HIV epidemic type: co-advisor school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - name: Forrest Jones degree: PhD type: co-advisor thesis: >- Harnessing Antibody Kinetics to Improve Epidemiologic Inference: Case Studies in Cholera and SARS-CoV-2 dates: August 2017-March 2022 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - name: Qifang Bi degree: PhD type: advisor dates: August 2016-October 2020 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health thesis: >- Uncovering the Epidemiology of COVID-19: Just-in-time Science in a Pandemic - name: Laura Bowles degree: ScM dates: August 2018-June 2020 type: advisor school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health thesis: >- Assessing the Risk Posed by Rubella to Pregnant Travelers - name: Juan Dent Hulse degree: ScM dates: May 2019-June 2020 type: advisor thesis: >- Analyzing the Micro-Scale Spatial Dynamics of HIV Transmission in Lake Victoria Fishing Communities school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - name: Isabella Gomes degree: MPH dates: July 2018-June 2019 type: academic advisor school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health thesis: >- Prevalence and Correlates of Intimate Partner Violence Among Sexual-Minority Men Over a Ten-Year Period: Findings from the Multicenter AIDS Cohort Study - name: Qulu Zeng degree: MHS dates: June 2018-June 2019 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health thesis: >- Cholera Outbreaks in sub-Saharan Africa: 1996-2016 - name: Jennifer Brophy degree: ScM type: co-advisor dates: September 2016-June 2018 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health thesis: >- HIV Risk in Partners of Migrants and Residents in Rakai, Uganda: An Observational Cohort Study - name: Rachel E. Kinney degree: MPH (part time) dates: June 2015-May 2017 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health thesis: Stress as it Effects Vaccine Efficacy - name: Dianna Higuerra degree: ScM dates: August 2014-May 2017 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health thesis: >- The Path to Measles Elimination in the Americas: A Retrospective Analysis - name: Talia M. Quandelacy degree: PhD dates: July 2015-October 2017 type: co-advisor school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health thesis: Characterizing micro-scale transmission dynamics of influenza - name: Megan Wallace degree: DrPH dates: September 2013-August 2017 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health thesis: Local Public Health Performance and its Impact on Population Health - name: Kathryn Risher degree: PhD dates: August 2013-April 2017 type: co-advisor school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health thesis: >- Sexual Behavior and Sexual Networks in South Africa: Implications for HIV Transmission. - name: Rebecca Pierce degree: PhD dates: December 2012-June 2017 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health thesis: >- Infectious Outcomes Associated with an Active Surveillance Culture and Decolonization Programs in the Neonatal Intensive Care Unit - name: Shaun Truelove degree: PhD dates: August 2012-November 2017 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health thesis: >- The Outbreak Potential for Measles and its Implications for Elimination. - name: Arwa Altaf degree: MPH dates: December 2015-June 2016 type: capstone advisor school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health thesis: >- Literature Review of SARS versus MERS - name: Rebecca C. Ehrenkranz degree: MPH dates: June 2015-June 2016 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health type: academic advisor - name: Cassandara Ott degree: MHS dates: December 2014-June 2016 type: thesis research advisor school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health thesis: >- Age and Seroprotection to Influenza A in Humans: a Systematic Review - name: Qifang Bi degree: MHS dates: September 2012-June 2014 type: thesis research advisor school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health thesis: >- Microscale Spatial Clustering of Behavioral and Environmental Risk Factors for Cholera Transmission in Arichpur Tongi, Bangladesh - name: Fatmata Daramy degree: MPH dates: August 2012-June 2013 type: capstone advisor school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health thesis: >- Assessing Effectiveness of Interventions in Sierra Leone based on Case Fatality Ratios(CFRs) for the 2012 Cholera Epidemic - name: Saki Takahashi degree: ScM dates: August 2012-June 2013 type: thesis research advisor school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health thesis: Spatial Cohesion in Measles Vaccination Rates Within and Across National Borders. - name: Kathryn Risher degree: MHS dates: August 2011-June 2013 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health thesis: The determinants of perceived and enacted stigma among men who have sex with men in Swaziland. - name: Andrew Azman degree: PhD dates: August 2011-January 2013 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health thesis: Heterogeneities in Cholera Transmission and their Implications for Vaccination - name: Rachel Lee degree: MHS dates: August 2011-June 2012 type: thesis research advisor school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health thesis: >- Incubation periods of viral gastroenteritis: a systematic review. - name: Pasri Maharom degree: MPH dates: August 2011-June 2012 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health thesis: >- Improving case detection for healthcare associated respiratory viral infections among in- and out- patients: Comparison between a mathematical algorithm and conventional methods to determine the incubation period. - name: Oluwaseun Akinyede degree: MPH dates: August 2010-June 2011 type: academic advisor wherenow: Research Assistant, ECRI (2017) school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - name: Daniel Cole degree: ScM dates: August 2009-June 2011 wherenow: Internal Medicine Resident, NY (2019) school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health thesis: >- Neutralization Titers and Risk of Dengue Hemorrhagic Fever in a Thai Pediatric Population postdocs: - name: Seungwon Kim dates: September 2024-present - name: Claire Smith dates: July 2024-present - name: Kathryn Kirchoff dates: April 2024-present - name: Mathew Meitchen dates: April 2023-present - name: Sung-mok Jung dates: July 2022-present - name: Joseph Lemaitre dates: January 2022-August 2024 - name: Kirsten Wiens dates: May 2020-June 2022 - name: Javier Perez-Saez dates: August 2019-August 2021 - name: Shirlee Wohl dates: October 2018-September 2021 - name: Sonia Hedge dates: August 2018-May 2021 - name: Amy Winter dates: April 2018-January 2021 - name: Stephen Lauer dates: March 2019-June 2020 - name: Elizabeth Lee dates: January 2018-January 2020 - name: Shaun Truelove dates: January 2018-January 2020 - name: John Giles dates: November 2017 - November 2020 - name: Lindsay Keegan dates: September 2015-January 2019 wherenow: Research Assitant Professor, University of Utah (2019) - name: Henrik Salje dates: March 2014-December 2016 wherenow: Group Leader, Institut Pasteur - name: Sean Moore dates: June 2013-March 2017 wherenow: Research Assistant Professor, Notre Dame (2019) - name: Matthew Graham dates: June 2014-March 2016 - name: Andrew Azman dates: January 2014-April 2015 wherenow: Assistant Scientist, JHSPH (2019) - name: Pasri Maharom dates: May 2012-May 2013 schoolwideOrals: - name: Jiyang Wen date: January 2021 department: Biostatistics ischair: yes school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - name: Forrest Jones date: August 2020 department: Epidemiology school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - name: Victor Popoola department: Epidemiology date: December 2018 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - name: Qifang Bi department: Epidemiology date: November 2018 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - name: Zeyi Wang department: Biostatistics date: September 2018 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - name: Alexandra Lorentz department: Environmental Health & Engineering date: November 2017 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - name: Josh Colston department: International Health date: April 2017 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - name: Allison McFall department: Epidemiology date: January 2017 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - name: Megan Wallace department: Epidemiology date: April 2016 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - name: Talia Quandelacy department: Epidemiology date: February 2016 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - name: Katherine Goodman department: Epidemiology date: January 2016 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - name: Marisa Hast department: Epidemiology date: December 2015 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - name: Tashrik Ahmed department: International Health date: November 2015 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - name: Wenfeng Gong department: International Health date: July 2015 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - name: Kathryn Risher department: Epidemiology date: April 2015 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - name: Shaun Truelove department: Epidemiology date: February 2015 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - name: Rebecca Pierce department: Epidemiology date: January 2015 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - name: Kerry Shannon department: International Health date: August 2013 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - name: Amanda Debes department: International Health date: April 2013 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - name: Lisa Krain department: Epidemiology school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health date: December 2012 - name: Andrew Azman department: Epidemiology date: May 2012 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health departmentalOrals: - name: Forrest Jones department: Epidemiology date: March 2020 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - name: Victor Popoola department: Epidemiology date: October 2018 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - name: Qifang Bi department: Epidemiology date: June 2018 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - name: Ashton Shaffer department: Epidemiology date: September 2017 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - name: Meagan Wallace department: Epidemiology date: February 2016 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - name: Talia Quandelacy department: Epidemiology date: November 2015 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - name: Shaun Truelove department: Epidemiology date: December 2014 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - name: Rebecca Pierce department: Epidemiology date: November 2014 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - name: Kathryn Risher department: Epidemiology date: November 2014 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - name: Andrew Azman department: Epidemiology date: March 2012 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - name: Alison Turnbull department: Epidemiology date: May 2011 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health finaldefense: - name: Claire Smith date: June 2024 department: Epidemiology school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - name: Victor Poopla date: December 2022 department: Epidemiology school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - name: Forrest Jones date: March 2022 department: Epidemiology school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - name: Qifang Bi date: October 2020 department: Epidemiology school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - name: Zeyi Wang date: April 2020 department: Biostatistics school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health ischair: yes - name: Katherine Goodman date: September 2018 department: Epidemiology school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - name: Marisa Hast date: March 2018 department: Epidemiology school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - name: Detian Deng date: February 2018 department: Biostatistics school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - name: Shaun Truelove date: November 2017 department: Epidemiology school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - name: Talia Quandelacy date: October 2017 department: Epidemiology school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - name: Megan Wallace department: Epidemiology date: August 2017 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - name: Rebecca Pierce department: Epidemiology date: June 2017 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - name: Kathryn Risher department: Epidemiology date: April 2017 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - name: Mariam Fofana department: Epidemiology date: April 2016 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - name: Henrik Salje department: Epidemiology date: February 2014 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - name: Andrew Azman department: Epidemiology date: January 2014 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health classes: - role: Lead Instructor class: >- EPID 757: Problem Solving Seminar in Advanced Infectious Disease Epidemiology year: 2025 students: 9 inthreeyear: yes school: UNC Gillings School of Global Public Health - role: Lecturer class: >- The One Health Approach to Epidemiology and Global Public Health: Problem Solving Seminar year: 2025 students: 20 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health lectures: 1 inthreeyear: yes - role: co-Instructor class: >- EPID 756: Introduction to Infectious Disease Modeling and Simulation in R year: 2024 students: 13 inthreeyear: yes school: UNC Gillings School of Global Public Health - role: Lecturer class: >- The One Health Approach to Epidemiology and Global Public Health: Problem Solving Seminar year: 2024 students: 20 lectures: 1 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health inthreeyear: yes - role: Lecturer class: Infectious Disease Epidemiology year: 2024 students: 60+ lectures: 2 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health inthreeyear: yes - role: Lead Instructor class: >- EPID 799C: Problem Solving Seminar in Advanced Infectious Disease Epidemiology year: 2023 students: 9 inthreeyear: yes school: UNC Gillings School of Global Public Health - role: Lead Instructor class: >- EPID 799B: Problem Solving Seminar in Advanced Infectious Disease Epidemiology year: 2023 students: 7 inthreeyear: yes school: UNC Gillings School of Global Public Health - role: Lecturer class: Infectious Disease Epidemiology year: 2023 students: 60+ lectures: 2 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health inthreeyear: yes - role: Lecturer class: >- The One Health Approach to Epidemiology and Global Public Health: Problem Solving Seminar year: 2023 students: 20 lectures: 1 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health inthreeyear: yes - role: Lecturer class: Infectious Disease Epidemiology year: 2022 students: 60+ lectures: 2 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health inthreeyear: yes - role: Lecturer class: >- The One Health Approach to Epidemiology and Global Public Health: Problem Solving Seminar year: 2022 students: 20 lectures: 1 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health inthreeyear: yes - role: co-Instructor class: >- The One Health Approach to Epidemiology and Global Public Health: Problem Solving Seminar year: 2021 students: 35 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health inthreeyear: no - role: Instructor class: Infectious Disease Dynamics year: 2021 students: 15 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health inthreeyear: no - role: Instructor class: Concepts and Methods in Infectious Disease Epidemiology year: 2021 students: 22 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health inthreeyear: no - role: Lecturer class: Infectious Disease Epidemiology year: 2020 students: 60+ lectures: 2 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health inthreeyear: no - role: co-Instructor class: >- The One Health Approach to Epidemiology and Global Public Health: Problem Solving Seminar year: 2020 students: 35 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health inthreeyear: no - role: Instructor class: Concepts and Methods in Infectious Disease Epidemiology year: 2020 students: 18 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health inthreeyear: no - role: Lecturer class: Emerging Infectious Diseases year: 2020 students: 64+ lectures: 1 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health inthreeyear: no - role: Lecturer class: Infectious Disease Epidemiology year: 2019 students: 60+ lectures: 2 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - role: Instructor class: Concepts and Methods in Infectious Disease Epidemiology year: 2019 students: 31 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - role: Lecturer class: Infectious Disease Epidemiology year: 2018 students: 60+ lectures: 2 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - role: Instructor class: Infectious Disease Dynamics year: 2018 students: 27 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - role: Instructor class: Concepts and Methods in Infectious Disease Epidemiology year: 2018 students: 30 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - role: Lecturer class: Infectious Disease Epidemiology year: 2017 students: 40+ lectures: 2 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - role: Instructor class: Infectious Disease Dynamics year: 2017 students: 28 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - role: Instructor class: Concepts and Methods in Infectious Disease Epidemiology year: 2017 students: 32 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - role: Lecturer class: Infectious Disease Epidemiology year: 2016 students: 40+ lectures: 2 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - role: Instructor class: Infectious Disease Dynamics year: 2016 students: 17 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - role: Instructor class: Concepts and Methods in Infectious Disease Epidemiology year: 2016 students: 21 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - role: Lecturer class: Advanced Topics on Control and Prevention of HIV/AIDS year: 2015 students: 20+ lectures: 1 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - role: Lecturer class: Infectious Disease Epidemiology year: 2015 students: 40+ lectures: 1 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - role: Instructor class: Infectious Disease Dynamics year: 2015 students: 14 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - role: Co-Instructor class: Concepts and Methods in Infectious Disease Epidemiology year: 2015 students: 30 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - role: Lecturer class: Advanced Topics on Control and Prevention of HIV/AIDS year: 2014 students: 25+ lectures: 1 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - role: Co-Instructor class: Infectious Disease Dynamics year: 2014 students: 15 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - role: Co-Instructor class: Concepts and Methods in Infectious Disease Epidemiology year: 2014 students: 30 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - role: Lab Instructor class: Epidemiologic Methods 3 students: 50 year: 2014 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - role: Instructor class: An Introduction to R Using R Studio, SER Annual Meeting students: 51 year: 2013 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - role: Co-Instructor class: Infectious Disease Dynamics year: 2013 students: 20 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - role: Co-Instructor class: Concepts and Methods in Infectious Disease Epidemiology year: 2013 students: 30 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - role: Lab Instructor class: Epidemiologic Methods 3 students: 50 year: 2013 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - role: Instructor class: Basic Training in IDD and Estimation Workshop (Bangladesh) students: 100 year: 2012 - role: Co-Instructor class: Infectious Disease Dynamics year: 2012 students: 16 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - role: Co-Instructor class: Concepts and Methods in Infectious Disease Epidemiology year: 2012 students: 25 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - role: Instructor class: Workshop on Dengue Prediction (Thailand) students: 40 year: 2012 - role: Lab Instructor/Lecturer class: Epidemiologic Methods 3 students: 50/200+ lectures: 1 year: 2012 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - role: Lecturer class: Fundamentals of Epidemiology students: 100+ lectures: 1 year: 2012 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - role: Co-Instructor class: Infectious Disease Dynamics year: 2011 students: 13 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - role: Lecturer class: Fundamentals of Epidemiology students: 100+ lectures: 1 year: 2011 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - role: Lab Instructor class: Principles of Epidemiology students: 35 year: 2010 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - role: Lecturer class: Infectious Disease Dynamics year: 2010 lectures: 5 students: 15 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health - role: Lab Instructor class: Principles of Epidemiology students: 35 year: 2009 school: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health activegrants: - org: CDC Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics PI: Justin Lessler/Kimberly Powers dates: 10/2023-9/2028 amount: 22,118,415 number: 1-NU38-FT000012-01 amPI: yes role: Principal Investigator description: >- ACCIDDA aims to lay the foundational groundwork for a faster and more coordinated response to future infectious disease threats through development and extension of innovative modeling and analytic techniques, establishment of new data streams, better harmonization of existing data streams, and training a new generation of epidemic modeling experts with close ties to public health practice. Further, ACCIDDA serves as coodinating center for Insight Net, an network of 13 centers encompassing over 100 organizations aimed at supporting public health response at national, state and local levels in the event of an emerging infectious disease crisis and advancing the operational structures needed in such a response and the science underlying these. pcteffort: 43 - org: NIH-NIGMS PI: Justin Lessler/Jessie Edwards dates: 2/2021-12/2025 title: >- Merging machine learning and mechanistic models to improve prediction and inference in emerging epidemics description: >- This project aims to develop a framework to forecast incidence in ongoing outbreaks that merges mechanistic and machine learning approaches; validate the framework using retrospective data and supply the framework to inform decision making in emerging epidemics; develop accessible and extensible tools for forecasting and decision analysis in infectious diseases epidemics role: Principal Investigator amPI: yes number: R01GM140564 amount: 1,543,472 pcteffort: 10 - org: Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation PI: Andrew Azman role: Investigator (UNC PI) title: >- Cholera burden and transmission modeling amount: 518,734 pcteffort: 10 description: >- Identify geographic extent of connected transmission units for cholera in Africa and other cholera endemic regions. completedgrants: - org: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention PI: Utah role: Investigator (UNC PI) title: >- Research to Improve National and Global Responses to Emerging Health Threats: Accelerating the Integration of Novel Data Streams in Mathematical Models description: >- Work aims to better use data in the response to pandemics and other infectious disease threats. amount: 300,000 dates: 9/2021-8/2024 - org: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention PI: Shaun Truelove role: Investigator (UNC PI) title: >- Research to Improve National and Global Responses to Emerging Health Threats: Accelerating Mathematical Modeling Implementation description: >- Work aims to better use models in the response to pandemics and other infectious disease threats. dates: 9/2021-8/2024 amount: 425,135 - org: NC DHHS Division of Public Health (DPH) role: Investigator title: North Carolina Coronavirus Variant Sequencing (CORVASEQ) Statewide Surveillance Initiative amount: 15,000,000 description: >- Assist in the analysis and collection of molecular data on SARS-CoV-2 within the state of North Carolina. - org: Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation PI: Justin Lessler dates: 9/2019-7/2022 title: >- Cholera Burden and Transmission Modeling description: >- This project expands upon the achievements of our previous BMGF grant titled 'Continue expanded cholera burden and transmission modeling to inform the global use of Oral Cholera Vaccine (OCV)' Capitalizing upon the developments of the past investments, we propose the following three objectives going forward: a) continue cholera mapping and maintenance of data and analysis pipeline b) ongoing support to countries/NGOs in their response to cholera c) participate in and advise the Global (and regional) Cholera Elimination Strategy role: Principal Investigator amPI: yes number: INV-002667 amount: 1,892,000 - org: Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation PI: Justin Lessler dates: 5/2020-10/2021 title: >- Seeding a West/Central African Cholera Genomic Surveillance Network description: >- This project has the goal of laying the groundwork for a regional genomic surveillance network for cholera and other enteric pathogens in West Africa. The goal of this project is to seed the formation of such a network through a series of workshops aimed at building country expertise in pathogen genomic sequencing and providing basic sequencing infrastructure and bioinformatic support to participating countries. role: Principal Investigator amPI: yes number: INV-016156 amount: 200,000 pcteffort: 10 - org: JHU Applied Physics Laboratory/FEMA/DHHS PI: Justin Lessler dates: 4/2020-4/2021 title: >- COVID-19 Response description: >- Provide technical support to APL including getting the modeling pipeline up and running, appropriate parameterization, and review of outputs and reports to help spot errors and inconsistencies. It will also include ongoing improvement of the modeling pipeline, including adding support for additional data types, adjusting the model based on our evolving understanding of SARS-CoV- 2 transmission and natural history. role: Subcontract PI amPI: yes number: WA 162740 amount: 345,678 pcteffort: 20 - org: Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation PI: Justin Lessler dates: 7/2018-6/2021 title: >- Harnessing Synergies between Epidemiologic and Genetic Data to Understand Cholera Transmission in Africa description: >- This project aims to better understand cholera transmission in Africa through combining epidemiological and molecular data from sub-Saharan Africa. Primarily relying on data from two large databases of epidemiological and molecular data, we aim to better understand whether bacterial genetics plays a role in shaping the size and extent of outbreaks and characterize natural spatial units of cholera transmission that often span administrative (e.g., country) borders, with an aim of improving cholera risk forecasts. In addition, we will pilot the use of real-time sequencing during cholera outbreaks, to demonstrate the potential utility of early molecular characterization in local and regional cholera responses. amPI: yes role: Principal Investigator number: OPP1195157 amount: 666,969 pcteffort: 20 - org: National Aeronautics and Space Administration PI: Benjamin Zaitchik dates: 8/2018-8/2021 title: >- The African Cholera Risk Early Warning System (ACREWS) description: >- This work, in collaboration with the WHO\'s Global Task Force on Cholera Control (GTFCC), aims to create an operational African Cholera Risk Early Warning System (ACREWS) that can inform deployment of resources for cholera control. role: Lead Science Investigator number: 17-HAQ17-0033 amount: 121,248 (subcontract) pcteffort: 2 - org: NIH/NIAID PI: Daniel Leung dates: 6/2018-6/2023 title: >- Estimating Cholera Burden with Cross-sectional Immunologic Data description: >- This project aims to develop new methods for estimating recent cholera incidence from cross-sectional serological data and simplifying assays to make them more field adapted. This project includes the use of data from large cohorts of cholera cases in Bangladesh and prospective enrollment of a cohort of cholera cases and household contacts in Haiti. role: Investigator number: R01 AI135115-01A1 pcteffort: 2 - org: NIH/NIAID PI: Chris Beyer and Richard Chaisson dates: 5/2017-4/2022 title: The Johns Hopkins Center for AIDS Research (JHU CFAR) description: >- This project consists of the administrative core, along with clinical, laboratory and prevention cores and scientific working groups to coordinate the HIV/AIDS research effort of the Johns Hopkins. role: Investigator pcteffort: 4 number: P30AI094189 - org: Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation PI: Bill Moss dates: 11/2015-5/2021 title: >- Assessing the feasibility of using serological data to monitor and guide immunization programs in low income countries description: >- To address critical research and operational questions regarding the use of serological surveillance for vaccine-preventable diseases in low income countries and to assess the feasibility of its use in such settings. role: Investigator number: OPP1094816 pcteffort: 10 - org: California Institute of Technology PI: Justin Lessler dates: 4/2020-10/2020 title: >- COVID-19 Support for the California Department of Public Health description: >- JHU is supporting the California Department of Technology support with California Department of Public Health in its response to the ongoing SARS-CoV-2 public health emergency by conducting scenario and strategic modeling of the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic for California region using large –scale spatio-temporal modeling approaches. role: Principal Investigator amPI: yes number: 19-13081 amount: 422,000 pcteffort: 35 - org: Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation PI: Andrew Azman dates: 4/2018-4/2020 title: >- Cholera serosurveys to refine estimates of burden and population at risk description: >- Cholera is chronically under diagnosed and under reported, making our understanding of the scope and distribution of disease and risk very limited. This limitation poses a major barrier to the addition of oral cholera vaccines to the Gavi portfolio during the next VIS. Population-based serosurveys can allow us to estimate incidence of recent cholera infection and close some of these knowledge gaps. This project proposes to analyze data from a nationally representative cross-sectional serosurvey Bangladesh to help refine estimates of cholera incidence, and to use the ratios of reported cases to confirmed infections to update assumptions about the size and distribution of the population at-risk globally to improve Gavi demand forecasting and impact modeling. role: Investigator number: OPP1191944 - org: NIH-NIAID type: R01 PI: Derek Cummings dates: 9/2013-1/2018 title: >- Linking antigenic and genetic variation of dengue to individual and population risk description: >- This project aims to understand how genetic variants of dengue emerge and replace existing variants in order to forecast future incidence, prepare surveillance systems and understand drivers of individual risk. role: Investigator. number: R01 AI114703 - org: Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation PI: Justin Lessler dates: 7/2017-8/2019 title: >- Continued & Expanded Cholera Burden & Transmission Modeling to Inform the use of OCV description: >- The proposed is aimed at characterizing the global epidemiology and burden of cholera, developing optimal strategies for the rational use of oral cholera vaccine (OCV), and supporting both ongoing and future global cholera control activities. amPI: yes role: Principal Investigator number: OPP1171700 amount: 894,949 - org: NIH-NIAID type: R01 PI: Justin Lessler dates: 2/2013-1/2019 title: >- Methods for Reducing Spatial Uncertainty and Bias in Disease Surveillance description: >- Surveillance data from large and small spatial scales play an essential role in public health and the scientific research, but these data are subject to missing observations, delays in reporting, and observational biases. This study aims to develop and extend statistical and modeling methodologies to correct for biases in surveillance data, impute missing data, predict the course of epidemics, and appropriately characterize the uncertainty in estimates and predictions at relevant spatial scales. Methods will be tested and validated using Thai dengue surveillance data, but should be applicable to a wide variety of diseases and contexts. role: Principal Investigator number: R01 AI102939 amPI: yes amount: 4,568,101 - org: Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation PI: Matthew Ferrari dates: 8/2013-6/2018 title: >- Models to support decision-making for Measles and Rubella vaccination planning description: >- Despite substantial progress in their control, measles and rubella still remain significant public health threats worldwide. In this project we are working to develop statistical and computational models to better understand the epidemiology of measles and rubella in the face of intensive vaccination programs, with the aim of provide critical insights of use for vaccination policy. In this project we will aim to classify countries based on their situation in regards to measles and rubella control, better use surveillance data to understand the effectiveness of vaccination campaigns, and develop methods that can be used to combine this information to develop measles and rubella control strategies best suited to the context in which they will be used. role: Investigator (subcontract PI) number: OPP1094793 - org: Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation PI: Justin Lessler dates: 5/2015-6/2017 title: Continued and Expanded Cholera Modeling Efforts description: >- Cholera is one of the first infectious pathogens ever identified, yet it remains a persistent global public health threat, particularly among the poorest and most vulnerable populations. The recent introduction of inexpensive, effective and easy to administer oral cholera vaccines (OCV) has provided new tools for cholera control. This project aims to use mathematical and computational modeling to provide essential guidance for the optimal use of OCV as the vaccine supply expands, including important information on when the vaccine can be used to the greatest effect, who should be targeted when the vaccine is used, and the potential public health impact of widespread OCV use. role: Principal Investigator number: OPP1127318 amPI: yes amount: 662,094 - org: NIH-NIA type: R56 PI: Justin Lessler dates: 9/2015-4/2017 title: Influenza Immunity and Survival in Aging Populations description: >- Each person experiences multiple infections with influenza virus over their lifetime, and the risks from these infections increase as we age. Recent studies suggest that the oldest individuals, with a lifetime of influenza exposure behind them, have elevated antibody titers to influenza across strains. This study aims to understand how and why this increase in antibody titers occurs, and what role survival effects, patterns of infection and the biology of the immune response play in creating patterns of immunity over a lifetime of influenza exposure. role: Principal Investigator number: 1 R56 AG048075-01A1 amPI: yes amount: 600,000 - org: Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation PI: Justin Lessler dates: 6/2013-6/2015 title: >- Modeling cholera transmission to inform use of Oral Cholera Vaccines (OCV) description: >- Cholera is one of the first infectious pathogens ever identified, yet it remains a persistent global public health threat, particularly among the poorest and most vulnerable populations. The recent introduction of inexpensive, effective and easy to administer oral cholera vaccines (OCV) have provided new tools for cholera control. This project aims to use mathematical and computational modeling to provide essential guidance for the optimal use of OCV as the vaccine supply expands, including important information on when the vaccine can be used to the greatest effect, who should be targeted when the vaccine is used, and the potential public health impact of widespread OCV use. role: Principal Investigator number: OPP1089243 amPI: yes amount: 471,557 - org: Johns Hopkins Center for Global Health PI: Justin Lessler dates: 3/2012-2/2014 title: >- FACULTY PILOT GRANT IN GLOBAL HEALTH: Spatial Patterns of Cholera Transmission and the Performance of Reactive Vaccination in an Epidemic Setting description: >- This pilot project aims to collect and analyze point pattern data on cholera cases in an epidemic setting with the aim of understanding the spatial scale of transmission and how this is driven by person-to-person and environmental pathways. Spatial data will be combined with data on the distribution of vaccine in response to a cholera epidemic, to help measure the effectiveness of this intervention and heterogeneities in its adoptions. role: Principal Investigator amPI: yes amount: 50,000 - org: NIH-NIAID PI: Justin Lessler dates: 7/2011-6/2013 title: Estimation of Intervention Effects in Influenza Outbreaks description: >- This project aims to study the transmission dynamics of influenza and the effect of interventions through the development and application of statistical techniques and novel study designs. This research will provide a direct benefit to public health by estimating the effect of commonly used interventions and fundamental characteristics of influenza transmission. role: Principal Investigator number: 1 K22 AI092150-01 amPI: yes amount: 270,000 type: K22 pcteffort: 50 - org: NIH-NIAID type: R01 PI: Ronald Gray dates: 2/2014-1/2017 title: >- HIV incidence, transmission dynamics \& combination HIV prevention description: >- "HIV incidence, transmission dynamics \& combination HIV prevention In Uganda's predominantly rural populations the HIV epidemic may be driven by introduced infections from high risk communities. We will determine sources of HIV infections in the agrarian population (2011-13), and evaluate scaled up combination HIV prevention using proven efficacious interventions (2013-17). Evaluation will assess service coverage and impact on HIV incidence, with an expected reduction of 46\%. Results will guide CHP scale up in rural Africa." role: Investigator number: R01 AI110324 - org: NIH-NIAID type: R03 PI: Aaron Milestone dates: 4/2015-3/2017 title: Impact of decolonization on MRSA transmission in neonates description: >- Despite decades of research, S. aureus continues to cause life-threatening infections in critically-ill neonates. Identifying new strategies to prevent S. aureus transmission is essential to prevent the morbidity and mortality associated with S. aureus infections in this vulnerable population. role: Investigator number: R03 AI117169 - org: NIH-Fogarty Institute PI: Derek Cummings dates: 9/2008-8/2012 title: >- Immune landscapes of human influenza in households, towns, and cities in southern China description: >- The goal of this work is to characterize immunological profiles to human influenza in space and time among individuals living in Guangzhou province, China, and to build computational models that capture the transmission dynamics that could create the specific distributions observed. role: Investigator number: R01 TW 0008246-01 - org: Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation PI: Donald Burke dates: 4/2008-3/2013 title: Vaccine Modeling Initiative description: >- Evaluation of candidate vaccine technologies using computational models role: Investigator number: 705580-3 committees: - role: Member at Large committee: Administrative Board of the Library org: University of North Carolina Chapel Hill dates: 2024-2027 - role: Gillings Representative committee: SDSS Pan-Campus Advisory Council org: University of North Carolina Chapel Hill dates: 2022-2024 - role: Member committee: Department of Epidemiology Admissions Committee org: UNC Gillings School of Global Public Health dates: 2022-present - role: Member committee: Department of Epidemiology Doctoral Training Review Committee org: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health dates: 2020-2021 - role: Member committee: Department of Epidemiology Curriculum Committee org: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health dates: 2020-2021 - role: Co-chair committee: Department of Epidemiology Admissions and Credentials Committee org: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health dates: 2016-2017 - role: Member org: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health committee: >- Ad-hoc promotions committee dates: 2016 - role: Member org: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health committee: >- Tenure track Epidemiology faculty search committee dates: 2016 - role: Member committee: Department of Epidemiology Admissions and Credentials Committee org: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health dates: 2015-2016 - role: Member committee: Department of Epidemiology Admissions and Credentials Committee org: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health dates: 2012-2014 - role: Member committee: The Committee for the 21st Century Welch Library org: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health dates: 2012 - role: Department Representative committee: Environmental Stewardship Committee org: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health dates: 2008-2010 - role: Student Representative committee: Department of Epidemiology Curriculum Committee org: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health dates: 2007-2008 - role: Student Representative committee: Environmental Stewardship Committee org: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health dates: 2007-2008 - role: Student Representative committee: Educational Technology Strategic Plan Subcommittee org: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health dates: 2007 - role: Student Representative committee: Committee on Information Technology org: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health dates: 2004-2005 otherservice: - dates: 2023-present description: Co-director Infectious Disease concentration department: UNC Epidemiology - dates: 2022, 2023 description: Co-wrote infectious disease concentration qualifying exam. department: UNC Epidemiology - dates: 2021-2023 description: COVID-19 Modeling to support UNC return to campus efforts. department: UNC University Wide - dates: 2016-2021 description: Infectious disease track director department: JHSPH Epidemiology - dates: 2008-2016 description: >- Infectious Disease Epidemiology Student/Faculty Social Event Organizer department: JHSPH Epidemiology - dates: 2012 description: >- Co-wrote comprehensive exam part B for Infectious Disease concentration. department: JHSPH Epidemiology - dates: 2011 description: >- Worked with Bill Moss and Shruti Mehta to revise the Infectious Disease Concentration curriculum and required courses department: JHSPH Epidemiology - dates: 2010 description: >- Co-wrote comprehensive exam part B for Infectious Disease concentration. department: JHSPH Epidemiology chairedsessions: - title: COVID-19 Pandemic Session (A) conference: Society for Epidemiologic Research Annual Meeting year: 2022 - title: Dynamics of Covid 3 conference: Epidemics$^8$ year: 2021 - title: Transmission Dynamics conference: Epidemics$^5$ year: 2015 seminars: - title: >- How should we be evaluating planning scenarios? Meditations inspired by the US COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub org: Harvard Center for Communicable Disease Dynamics loc: Boston, MA date: February 2025 - title: >- How should we be evaluating planning scenarios? Meditations inspired by the US COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub org: Emory University loc: Atlanta, GA date: February 2025 - title: >- How should we be evaluating planning scenarios? Meditations inspired by the US COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub org: University of Oxford Pandemic Sciences Institute loc: Oxford, UK date: August 2024 - title: >- Scenario Planning Models in the Pandemic Response, Looking back on two and a half years of operational modeling org: Yale School of Public Health loc: Hartford, CT date: December, 2022 - title: >- Running and Evaluating a Multi-team Scenario Modeling Effort for COVID-19, Looking back on two and a half years of operational modeling org: Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta loc: Atlanta, GA date: August 2022 - title: >- Running and Evaluating a Multi-team Scenario Modeling Effort for COVID-19, Looking back on two and a half years of operational modeling org: UNC Carolina Population Center loc: Chapel Hill, NC date: August 2022 - title: >- Understanding COVID-19 transmission: from households to populations org: Cincinnati Children’s, Current Topics in COVID-19 Research date: February 2021 loc: Online - title: >- Understanding SARS-CoV-2 using Contact Tracing and Household Data org: COPSS-NISS COVID-19 Webinar Series date: January 2021 loc: Online - title: >- Insights into SARS-CoV-2 Transmission and Control org: McGill IHSP Policy Talks Webinar Series loc: Online date: September 2020 - title: >- What models tell us about the past and future of COVID-19 org: University of Colorado Department of Medicine loc: Online date: June 2020 - title: >- “Update on the COVID-19 Response: Insights and Activities” org: Johns Hopkins Welch Center date: March 2020 loc: Online - title: >- Novel Coronavirus COVID-19:Early Insights into Epidemiology and Impact org: Johns Hopkins Tropical Medicine Dinner Club date: March 2020 loc: Baltimore MD - title: >- An enemy or a friend? How spatial clustering of risk works for us and against us in infectious disease control. org: Imperial College loc: London UK date: June 2019 - title: >- An enemy or a friend? How spatial clustering of risk works for us and against us in infectious disease control. org: Emory University loc: Atlanta GA date: March 2019 - title: >- Maps, Models and Immunity: Practical Approaches to Heterogeneity in Infectious Disease Risk org: University of Georgia Athens loc: Athens GA date: October 2017 - title: >- Maps, Models and Immunity: Practical Approaches to Heterogeneity in Infectious Disease Risk org: Duke University loc: Durham NC date: February 2017 - title: >- Time to Key Events in the Natural History of Zika Virus Infection: Estimation and Implications org: Howard University loc: Washington DC date: December 2016 - title: >- Time to Key Events in the Natural History of Zika Virus Infection: Estimation and Implications org: National Institutes of Health loc: Washington DC date: December 2016 - title: >- Mysteries and Challenges in Measuring the Effectiveness of Oral Cholera Vaccines org: MIDAS event: Simulating Intervention Trials in Infectious Diseases loc: Seattle, WA date: August 2016 - title: >- Maps, Models and Immunity: Practical Approaches to Heterogeneity in Infectious Disease Risk org: University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill loc: Chapel Hill NC date: October 2015 - title: >- Maps, Models and Immunity: Practical Approaches to Heterogeneity in Infectious Disease Risk org: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health loc: Baltimore MD date: October 2015 - title: >- Model Motivated Study Design. event: >- Workshop on Integrating mathematical models with the design and analysis of clinical trials to assess the efficacy of disease prevention and control interventions loc: Minneapolis MN date: September 2015 - title: >- Measles and Ebola: A case study in raising the alarm and supporting local response. event: >- Learning from Ebola: Reflections from the Frontlines org: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health loc: Baltimore MD date: September 2015 - title: Mapping and Classifying Cholera Incidence org: Africol loc: Lome, Togo date: June 2015 - title: >- Measuring Measles Measles Immunity at the Edge of Elimination org: Immunization an Vaccine Access Center date: February 2015 loc: Baltimore MD - title: >- Progress Toward a Lifecourse Approach to Influenza Epidemiology org: >- University of Pittsburgh Graduate School of Public Health loc: Pittsburgh PA date: February 2015 - title: >- Mapping and Classifying Cholera Incidence event: Cholera Round Table loc: Kinshasa DRC date: December 2014 - title: >- Methods for Reducing Spatial Uncertainty and Bias in Disease Surveillance (R01AI102939) event: NIH Webinar loc: Online date: October 2014 - title: >- Cholera Modeling at Johns Hopkins: Linking Modeling and Public Heath Practice org: Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation loc: Seattle WA date: May 2014 - title: >- Inferring Transmission Dynamics From Cross-sectional Serologies: Challenges and Results from the Fluscape Study. org: National Institutes of Health loc: Bethesda MD date: February 2014 - title: >- The Incubation Period of Viral Gastroenteritis: Results of a Systematic Review and Implications event: >- JHU-Water, Sanitation and Hygiene Meeting loc: Baltimore MD date: February 2014 - title: >- Fluscape, Patterns of Movement, Immunity and Infection event: RAPIDD Meeting on Human Mobility loc: Princeton NJ date: April 2013 - title: >- Antibody Patterns After a Lifetime of Influenza Exposure event: RAPIDD Meeting on Influenza Lifecourse Epidemiology loc: London, UK date: July 2013 - title: >- Analytic Approaches to Investigating HIV Transmission Dynamics. org: Johns Hopkins University Center for AIDS Research loc: Baltimore MD date: May 2013 - title: Fluscape, Patterns of Movement, Immunity and Infection org: Harvard University loc: Cambridge MA date: April 2013 - title: >- Measuring Vaccine use in Africa: Coverage and Spatial Patterns event: RAPIDD Meeting on Vaccine Refusal loc: Princeton NJ date: March 2013 - title: Fluscape, Patterns of Movement, Immunity and Infection org: Oxford University loc: Oxford, UK date: February 2013 - title: >- Model motivated data collection: The Fluscape Study org: University of California, Irvine loc: Irvine CA date: October 2011 - title: >- Patterns of Influenza A Immunity in Southern China: Preliminary Results From the Fluscape Study org: Fogarty International Center loc: Bethesda, MD date: June 2011 - title: >- Patterns of Influenza A Immunity in Southern China: Preliminary Results of the Fluscape Study org: New York University Medical Center date: April 2011 loc: New York NY - title: >- Measuring the Performance of Vaccination Programs Using Cross-Sectional Surveys event: RAPIDD Vaccine Refusal Workshop loc: Princeton NJ date: November 2011 - title: >- Making Inferences about Infection Using the Incubation Period org: Johns Hopkins Hospital event: >- Hospital Epidemiology and Infection Control, Clinical Conundrum date: December 2010 loc: Baltimore MD - title: >- Influenza A Neutralization Patterns by Age and Location: Preliminary Results from the Fluscape Project event: Shanghai World Expo date: August 2010 loc: Shanghai, China - title: >- Missing and Coarsely Observed Data in Infectious Disease Studies: Three Vignettes org: New York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene date: July 2010 loc: New York NY - title: >- Dynamics and Natural History of H1N1: Early Findings and Implications org: IBM Almaden Research Center date: May, 2010 loc: San Jose CA - title: >- Dynamics and Natural History of H1N1: Early Findings and Implications org: Drexel University date: March, 2010 loc: Philadelphia PA - title: >- Dynamics and Natural History of H1N1, Preliminary Findings org: Center for Biosecurity of UPMC loc: Baltimore MD date: November 2009. - title: >- "Webinar: Swine Online '09" org: Center for Talented Youth date: October 2009 loc: Online - title: >- Detecting Health Care-Associated Infections Using Date of Symptom Onset org: University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill loc: Chapel Hill NC date: February 2009 - title: >- The Mathematics of Outbreak Investigations org: James Madison University Department of Mathematics date: March 2007 loc: Harrisonburg VA - title: >- Modeling Emerging Influenzas: Fort Dix 1976 org: James Madison University Department of Mathematics date: February 2006 loc: Harrisonburg VA researchstatement: >- I research the dynamics and control of infectious disease, with particular interest in influenza, measles, cholera and COVID-19. I work on the development and application of statistics, dynamic models and novel study designs to better understand and control infectious disease. In particular, I am interested in creating synergies between infection control practice, data collection and infectious disease dynamics. keywords: - Infectious Disease Dynamics - Mathematical Modeling - Epidemiology - Biostatistics - Influenza - Cholera - Measles - Dengue - Spatial Statistics - Emerging Infectious Diseases - SARS-CoV-2 - COVID-19 dissertation: title: Detection and Characterization of Respiratory Viruses in Institutions author: Lessler J year: 2008 department: Department of Epidemiology institution: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health ---